Will the US follow Europe?

By 31st October 2020Eurozone, The US

Few sectors were spared the heavy selling in equities last week, as the markets react to the prospect of tighter Covid-19 restrictions and a ‘blue wave’.  The losses in IT were concentrated in fintech stocks, as investors fret over the prospect of tighter financial regulation. Notable cases in point include Fidelity National Information Services (-13.7% last week), Fleetcor Technologies (-14.8%), Global Payments (-10.9%), Mastercard (-12.4%) and Western Union (-11.5%).

The focus on how Joe Biden would impact ‘big tech’ has not unnaturally been on the potential for anti-trust legislation. The trick of any left leaning administration will be how to craft legislation that fosters competition, while retaining the incentives crucial for R&D. Investment in R&D had risen sharply prior to the pandemic, climbing to new highs as a share of real GDP. Record investment across the economy had gone hand in hand with a big jump in the real median income.

Big tech has been good for R&D. The trick of any left leaning administration will be how to craft legislation that fosters competition, while retaining the incentives crucial for R&D. If the Democrats fail, equities will suffer.

Summary

• Biden and the risks for Fintech

• Trump has presided over record R&D and rising incomes

• Democrats

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